CHAPTER 7  

The Rise of Ultra-Capitalism  

            Volatilities gave electronic speculation what it needed to feed on and flourish beyond the wildest expectations. The consequence is a massive, revolutionized, and largely unregulated financial sector armed with the latest high-tech weaponry and pursuing profits on any battlefield, straining the stock and bond markets, plucking loot from any debacle, shooting the economic wounded, and outgunning the “real economy” in its transactions by huge ratios.  This leap in the importance of spectronic finance is hard to overestimate.    

                                                                               Kevin Phillips [1]   

             If Phillips’s words seem extreme, he has sophisticated company.  George Soros, one of the world’s wealthiest speculators, likened the financial forces in global capitalism to massive tectonic plates rubbing against each other, “often creating earthquakes, crushing minor currencies in the process.”[2]  Soros also used the metaphor of a giant wrecking ball swinging from country to country, knocking over the weaker ones.[3]  The enormous economic and social damage to Indonesia in 1998 from this new force has been compared to a drive-by shooting.[4]  I call it ultra-capitalism.

            What did the world’s presumed economic leader, the United States , do about this?  Nothing.  Congress held hearings on the 1997 Asian economic problems.  Soros was invited to make his recommendations.  Nothing happened because those in government with the responsibility and the knowledge to propose the needed reforms had a higher loyalty to Wall Street.  So many ultra-capitalists were making so many hundreds of billions of dollars from the monetary volatility in global capitalism that solutions to root causes were not pursued.

            A powerful financial oligarchy is nothing new.  What is new, however, is its capacity to damage global economic momentum severely.  What is new is the sad picture of countries successfully improving the lives of their people through economic freedom but then being set back by the imperfections in global finance.  Positive economic momentum takes years to produce; reversal of this momentum can happen in weeks, and result in social chaos and frequently violence.

            In the early 1990s, the world seemed to be moving toward a common ideology of economic freedom, powered by the growth, productivity, and unifying capabilities of the Information Age Revolution.  Communism and socialism had failed to produce a superior social contract, but in contrast, economic freedom was improving lives wherever it was competently applied.  Democratic capitalism seemed prepared to eliminate material and cultural scarcity; a world of peace and plenty seemed to be both an opportunity and an obligation for society.

            Southeast Asian nations¾ Malaysia , Thailand , South Korea , and Indonesia ¾were examples of the momentum from this common purpose.  All had dramatically improved the lives of their people by adopting many of the principles of democratic capitalism.  Stronger economic growth had generated new jobs, but the Asians had also kept their economic fundamentals in reasonable shape: Inflation was under control, government deficits were modest, and the balance of trade was favorable.  Indonesia , the world’s fourth-largest nation in population, and the largest Muslim nation, had reduced the number of its 211 million people under the poverty line from 40% to 10% over several decades.  Was it an imperfect process?  Yes.  Was there “crony capitalism?”  Of course, but the mission of improving lives was being accomplished.

            By the end of 1997, however, all four of these Asian economies were in shambles.  Currency was devalued as much as 70%; wages were cut 40%; unemployment, prices, and interest rates were all rising; government deficits were growing bigger; virtually no new money was available for business; even lines of credit for operating successful businesses were cut.

            Quickly, the uplifting sense of common purpose was replaced by confusion and dangerous social tensions.  Government leaders who had been proud of their nations’ successes were now disparaged at home and abroad.  Those leaders who had espoused the common ideology of free markets now became angry critics of the immorality of currency speculators and the economic imperialism of the West.  Indonesia ’s Suharto, the architect of dramatic improvement in Indonesia ’s standard of living, was driven from office with the help of the media.

            When economic freedom is the norm, an economy can run itself, with little required of governments except civic order, a stable medium of exchange, and capital prepared to invest in long-term growth.  Instead, the world’s economy had been damaged by ultra-capitalism, accompanied by great instabilities in the medium of exchange, and impatient capital demanding quick returns.

            The world’s economic leader, the United States , was largely responsible both for causing and failing to correct these situations.  The U.S. government made mistakes during the 1970s that caused excessive liquidity and volatility, and then coupled bank deregulation with the suspension of market disciplines. U.S. government officials helped convince emerging economies to remove all cross-border capital controls¾a good idea in theory, a bad idea under the compromised circumstances.

            To free the world economy to grow and improve all lives, governments, led by the United States , need to take action on these root-problems that hurt global capitalism:  

·         Control speculation through taxation and by limiting the amount that can be borrowed.  

·         Allow market disciplines to monitor the process by stopping subsidies, large-risk insurance, and bailouts.  

·         Regulate world banking to limit damage from “hot” or short-term money rushing in and out of the countries.  

·         Develop a new currency-stabilizing mechanism by harmonizing economic fundamentals in selected countries.  

            The U.S. , the best example in history of the benefits of economic freedom, has also been the worst example of a government’s allowing repetitive economic damage through its unwillingness to control leveraged speculation.  This failure of leadership caused the panics of 1818, 1834, 1857, 1873, 1907, 1920, and 1929, the Great Depression, the Savings and Loan debacle, the Bond Massacre of 1994, the failure of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, the bankruptcy of Enron in 2001, and the turn-of-the-century slow-down of the world’s economy.  The same failure of leadership infected emergent economies, resulting in the South American and Mexican crises of 1982, the Mexican crisis of 1994, the Asian crisis of 1997, and it contributed to the Russian debacle in 1998.

            The inherent contradiction in capitalism, according to Marx, is pressure on profit margins relieved by downward pressure on wages.  According to his theory, in an economic downturn, both pressures are magnified until the system implodes in a proletarian revolution.  Marx was partly right, but the greater cause of the boom/bust cycle is government’s unwillingness to control speculation with borrowed money. Contrary to Marx, the inherent contradiction is not in the economic theory of capitalism but in government’s failure to manage currency and credit to

benefit the general welfare. The fault lies with politicians, their errors of judgment, and their willing response to the lobbying from ultra-capitalists for too easy credit.

            Until the Industrial Revolution in the eighteenth century, society remained feudal, with static classes and limited freedom.  Capital for commerce was provided by a few wealthy people; labor was manual, provided mainly by slaves and serfs. With the new technology of the Industrial Revolution, productivity increased by several thousand times, although capital held by only a few was still dominant. Adam Smith, and later J. S. Mill, described how to maximize surplus through involved workers’ sharing in improved performance; most of industry, however, remained feudal, for return on capital was adequate, even when workers were more wage-slaves than participants. Because Mill’s theory of broad wealth distribution through workers’ accumulation of ownership received little visibility, democratic capitalism had to be developed by the  trial and error of entrepreneurs willing to experiment with capitalism by improving it through democratic participation.

            In the 20th century, visionary companies combined new technology with involved workers motivated by performance bonuses and opportunities for ownership participation. Democratic capitalism thus gained momentum until the last quarter of the century when ultra-capitalism spread globally and became dominant.  Ultra-capitalism included mercantilism that treated workers as a cost commodity, and finance capitalism that speculated with borrowed money causing investment capital to be impatient and the medium of exchange very volatile.  Wall Street and institutional investors adopted ultra-capitalism and demanded short-term profits. Many CEOs were seduced to ultra-capitalism by multi-million dollar salaries and multiples of those millions from enormous stock options.

            The Information Age Revolution paralleled the growth of ultra-capitalism and demonstrated productivity many times greater from cognitive power than did the Industrial Revolution from manual labor. Information Age industries, further, demand as a competitive necessity the culture of democratic capitalism in order to release the cognitive power of their people.

            At the beginning of a new millennium, it is unclear whether society will benefit from the extraordinary opportunities of the Information Age and democratic capitalism, or whether the malign influences of ultra-capitalism will destroy the world’s economic momentum. This choice to be made between these competing forms of capitalism is every citizen’s responsibility: The choice is for either a twenty-first century of peace and plenty through worldwide economic common purpose or more folly and violence from a continued concentration of wealth and power.  

The History of Economic Conflict:  Cooperative Commerce versus Making Money on Money  

            Throughout history, leaders from government, religion, and elsewhere in the culture have recognized the threat to society from money that was not neutral, stable, and patient. The threat to cooperative commerce by those with the exclusive mission of making money on money goes back to the beginnings:  

1000 B.C. and earlier:  Barter was used for commercial exchange but was usually limited to two-party transactions.  

1000-650 B.C.:  Various items were used as a medium of exchange, including cattle, stones, and women; none was either divisible or easy to handle.  

600 B.C.: First coinage was introduced with various denominations, based on the perceived value of precious metals.  This was to be the basic system for next 2,500 years.  

Old Testament:  “Unto a stranger thou mayest lend upon usury, but unto a brother thou shalt not.”[5]   

New Testament: Jesus warned:  “No man can serve two masters; for either he will hate the one and love the other, or else he will stand by the one and despise the other.  You cannot serve God and Mammon.”[6]  

Rabbinic Literature:  “The love of gold will not be free from sin, for he who pursues wealth is led astray by it.”[7]   

299-400:  Roman emperors paid for war by debasing currency.  Coin of the realm was recalled, melted, and reissued with lower precious-metal content. 

632: In the Koran, Islamic law encouraged patient capital through equity investment but prohibited impatient capital through interest-bearing loans.  

789: When Charlemagne became Holy Roman Emperor, he forbade making money on money in his Admonitio Generalis.[8]   

1200: Anselm of Canterbury considered high interest an offense against the fourth commandment: “Thou shalt not steal.”[9]  

1213: Cardinal Robert Courçon presented his Summa to the Council of Paris, emphasizing labor as the basic value and condemning the making of money on money as a corruption of the commercial process.  “The Council ordered each Christian, under pain of excommunication and censure, to work either spiritually or physically and to earn his bread by the sweat of his brow.”  Courçon  concluded: “All usurers, all rebels, and all plunderers would disappear, we would be able to give alms and provide for the churches and everything would return to its original state.”[10]  

1300:  Dante Alighieri in his allegorical poem, the Divine Comedy, described people realizing their potential in a world of peace and justice based on a commercial order.  Under Dante’s scrutiny of the evils

contaminating the commercial process, he found a natural law at work and reserved some of the greatest tortures in hell for the financial predators who transgressed this law.           

            Dante speaks to Virgil:  

            “Go back a little further,” I said, “to where
you spoke of usury as an offense
against God’s goodness.  How is that made clear?”            

            Recalling the Old Testament, Virgil replies:  

            “Near the beginning of Genesis, you will see
that in the will of
Providence , man was meant
to labor and to prosper.  But usurers,

by seeking their increase in other ways,
scorn Nature in herself and her followers.”
[11]  

1694:  King William III of England established the Bank of England, and provided privileges for the wealthy and powerful in exchange for their funds to fight wars with France .  

1695:  John Locke, physician, philosopher, statesman, humanist, and expert on distribution of wealth and monetary matters returned to England after the Glorious Revolution of 1688.  Locke promoted individual freedom through his theory of inalienable human rights and also advised governments on the need for monetary control.  Locke was concerned about coin-clipping because lightweight coin was circulating at higher value than its metallic value, and a provision for surrender of lightweight coin at high value enriched the fast-moving, well informed, urban speculator to the detriment of the rural, work-preoccupied farmer.[12]  Locke described the conflict in capitalism:  

            This is evident, that the multiplying of brokers hinders the Trade of any Country, by making the Circuit, which the Money goes, larger, and in that Circuit more stops, so that the Returns must necessarily be slower and scantier, to the prejudice of Trade:  Besides that, they Eat up too great a share of the Gains of Trade, by that means Starving the Labourer, and impoverishing the Landholder.[13]   

1776:  Adam Smith assimilated lessons learned over the centuries of the development of capitalism.  Smith then anticipated the conflict between the job-growth economy that benefits the many, and privileges for speculation that benefit the few. He warned of the dangers from the “prodigals and projectors” who would make money high-cost and volatile, and would deflect it from job growth.   

1789:  Alexander Hamilton, George Washington’s Secretary of the Treasury, successfully lobbied for payment of war debts at par, and assumption of $21,500,000 of state debts.  An incidental effect was profits derived from speculation by those who had anticipated this law and bought up revolutionary soldiers’ scrip for 20 cents on the dollar.  This was the first use of “insider information” in the new republic.  

1790:  Thomas Jefferson, Washington ’s Secretary of State, battled with Hamilton over a United States central bank.  Jefferson thought banks were invented “to enrich swindlers at the expense of the honest and industrious.”[14]  

1792-1845:  Scotland ’s economy flourished with free banking.  As no central bank existed, private banks could issue their own money, virtually without bank regulation.[15]  The market punishment for bad loans was quick, visible, local, and severe.  

1805:  President Jefferson opposed the National Bank and favored State banks as a means of diffusing the power of financial capitalism.  He exhorted his Secretary of the Treasury, Albert Gallatin:  “It is the greatest duty we owe to the safety of our Constitution to bring this powerful enemy to a perfect subordination.”[16]  

1806:  Capitalists successfully lobbied for a growing body of law, resisting shorter work days and supporting imprisonment for union activity.[17]  The courts outlawed strikes in Philadelphia in 1806, and in New York in 1810.  

1812:  President James Madison failed in his effort to control finance capitalism because he was forced to negotiate privileges for the bankers in exchange for their funding the War of 1812 when the country was nearly bankrupt.  Subsequently, the postwar boom escalated into speculation, much of it on borrowed money. The Panic of 1818-19, the first speculative cycle in the United States , was the result.  Madison described finance capitalism as “parasitical.”  

1814:  John Taylor, a Virginia planter and U.S. Senator, defended democracy against the financial oligarchy, describing the fiscal policy originated by Hamilton as one that would produce “a peasantry, wretchedly poor and an aristocracy, luxuriously rich and arrogantly proud.”  Taylor felt that privileged capital would “in the case of mechanics, soon appropriate the whole of their labor to its use, beyond bare subsistence.”  Taylor warned about two threats to private property:  “The first, by which the poor plunder the rich, is sudden and violent; the second, by which the rich plunder the poor, is slow and legal.”  Taylor concluded that the political process was biased because “we farmers and mechanics are political slaves because we are political fools.”[18]  

1830s:  Andrew Jackson tried hard to democratize capitalism, but he lacked the tools of economic understanding. Jackson engaged in a fierce battle with the head of the Bank of the United States , Nicholas Biddle, and vetoed the National Bank Act passed by Congress with a message that chided the powerful and wealthy for lobbying Congress to add more personal wealth (see introduction to chapter 9).

            In Jackson ’s “Farewell Address,” he warned that the “great bone and sinew of this nation” was threatened by “gradual consuming corruption, which is spreading and carrying stock jobbing, land jobbing, and every species of speculation.”  Jackson pinpointed the problem: Concentrated wealth also means concentrated political power. In some cases, money corrupts politicians; in most cases, it moves the agenda away from the general welfare.

            Jackson pointed out that although the people were the democratic majority, they did not have the cohesion and organization to prevail:  “The agriculture, the mechanical, and the laboring classes, from their habits and the nature of their pursuits...are incapable of forming extensive combinations to act together.  They have but little patronage to give to the press.”  By contrast, Jackson charged, “Exclusive privileges enable corporations, wealthy individuals, and designing politicians to move together with undivided force...to engross all power in the hands of a few.”[19]           

            Jackson won his battle by killing the Bank of the United States , but he lost the war when the State banks that he favored discredited themselves by providing the easy credit for speculation that caused the economic disaster of 1837.  Like Jefferson and Madison before him, Jackson was a reformer who recognized corruption of democratic principles by finance capitalism but lacked the financial sophistication to design effective reforms.  

1860s-70s:  After the Civil War, dominant finance capitalists persuaded Presidents Andrew Johnson and U.S. Grant to control currency in a deliberate devaluation to restore the asset value of the wealthy to pre-war levels.  This technique, copied from the British, caused unemployment, dropping wages, and rising prices in the economic disaster of 1873.  Later, Ludwig von Mises would blame economic calamities in England after the Napoleonic Wars and the emergence of Marx on this same brutal practice[20] (see chapter 3).  

1888: The Farmers’ Alliance organized cooperative warehouses in order to resell at advantageous prices and buy supplies at wholesale with borrowed money.  The bankers refused to lend money to the cooperatives, even with good collateral. “The agrarian reformers attempted to overcome a concentrating system of finance capitalism that was rooted in the Eastern commercial banks.”[21] The Alliance was also unsuccessful in its effort to get the government to lend money directly from the Treasury.  

1896:  The Populist Party was defeated. Their platform, including seeking democratic capital, became obscured by William Jennings Bryan’s “Cross of Gold” platform, a political argument between gold and silver interests. The Populist Movement declined for lack of reform focus.  

1873, 1884, 1893, 1907:  Widespread money panics occurred at the height of the crop season when large amounts of money were needed to bring crops to market.  This seasonal need could not be met except by paying out limited reserves, causing the whole money supply to contract.[22]  When the surge of demand hit New York banks, their choices were either to draw on reserves at higher rates or form syndicates to pool resources and meet demand or borrow gold from Europe to support more lending. Eventually they did none of this, which resulted in local farmers’ banks not having liquidity to make loans.  This uncertainty caused people to take their money out of the banks, and that in turn caused bank runs and bank failures.  At root, the system did not have the flexibility to fund short-term working-capital needs of the most basic industry, agriculture.   

1913:  Financial panics spawned the Federal Reserve.  The Fed was founded to provide the liquidity needed to prevent a repetition of the bank panics, and to prevent the damaging boom/bust cycles by representing the public interest.  Roger Lowenstein described this responsibility as follows: “The Federal Reserve System was created, in 1913, for many reasons, but the underlying one was that people no longer trusted private bankers to shepherd the financial markets.”  From the beginning, however, Lowenstein added:  “The Fed is supposed to regulate banking but not to shelter banks.”[23]  

1928-32:  President Herbert Hoover’s Republican predecessors had done little to control the leveraged speculation that caused the Crash of 1929. After the crash, Secretary of the Treasury Andrew Mellon followed the time-honored ceremony of regaining “fiscal integrity” by hurting people.  Mellon behaved like an avenging angel, shrinking currency 30% in two years and instituting retroactive tax increases as high as 63%.  These actions converted Wall Street’s overdue stock-market correction into Main Street ’s Great Depression. The protectionist Smoot-Hawley Act then exported the Depression to many other countries.

            The Crash of 1929 is an example of the government’s willingness to encourage speculation with easy credit. In that crash, brokers’ loans, that is, stock bought “on margin,” or borrowed money, went from $1.5 billion in 1923 to $6.0 billion in December 1928.  Anyone observing this pattern could have seen the train wreck coming.  New borrowings were collateralized by rising values; the sickness fed on itself for years. Banks were borrowing from the government at 5% and then lending at 12%.  Corporations were pumping surplus cash into the stock market rather than into either growth or dividends.  After the crash, the margin calls demanding that the loans be repaid, fed the downward spiral. As the values plummeted, the borrowers had to come up with more cash, which forced them to sell more, which continued the downward spiral.  

            A few years later, John Maynard Keynes viewed the catastrophic economic damage done by the stock market crash of 1929, and he put speculation and the motivations of Wall Street into perspective:  

            Speculators may do no harm as bubbles on a steady stream of enterprise.  But the position is serious when enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation.  When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.  The measure of success attained by Wall Street, regarded as an institution of which the proper social purpose is to direct new investment into the most profitable channels in terms of future yield, cannot be claimed as one of the outstanding triumphs of laissez-faire capitalism — which is not surprising, if I am right in thinking that the best brains of Wall Street have been in fact directed towards a different object.[24]  

            1930s: After the damage had been done, the government established the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to prevent future calamities. Among other moves, the SEC raised margin requirements to 50%. The speculators now were required to use their own money for one-half of their bets. By the end of the century, however, the amount of leverage allowed for speculation was close to 100% in unregulated hedge funds, the borrowings were in trillions of dollars, and new laws added opportunities for more leverage.   

1932-44:  President Franklin Delano Roosevelt in 1936 bragged that he had neutralized the privileged financial oligarchy during his first Administration; he planned to complete his mastery of them in the second. He failed, however, for the usual reason: The government needed the finance capitalists to fund preparation for World War II. 

            FDR reluctantly instituted bank deposit insurance of $5,000 per account to stop bank panics, but he warned that the practice was an abrogation of market discipline that could cause economic catastrophes.  By the 1980s, deposit insurance had been raised to $100,000 per account with no limit on how many bank locations where the speculators might borrow another federally-insured $100,000.  FDR was right, the Savings-and-Loan catastrophe was the result, and the taxpayers paid for the  government’s mistake and the speculators’ greed.  

1963-1968 : Despite the bipolar tension between the United States and the U.S.S.R., the world after World War II made economic progress.  The relationship between freedom and improving lives was becoming clearer, interest rates and inflation were low, and the dollar was stable.  Times were good for long-term investments.  Hundreds of millions of people around the world were improving their lives.  Then, Democrat President Lyndon Johnson caused severe inflation by funding, mainly by deficit spending, both his expansion of the Vietnam War and his “Great Society.” The subsequent inflation-fighting drove interest rates up as high as 20%.  

1971: Republican President Richard Nixon caused instabilities in the international monetary system that opened up the world’s electronic monetary casino.  Because of American economic weaknesses in 1971, foreigners were cashing in dollars for gold so fast that the reserve was disappearing.  Nixon, forced to “close the gold window” and “float” the dollar, allowed market forces to determine the dollar’s value relative to other currencies. As a result, for the first time in commercial history, no mechanism was in place to stabilize currency. According to Joel Kurtzman, “It created enormous arbitrage possibilities and set the stage for the invention of a myriad of new financial products.”[25]  It also uncoupled the “money” economy from the “real” economy and put them badly out of balance:  

            The new neural network of money made its debut rather abruptly on Sunday, August 15, 1971 , although most people did not recognize its appearance for at least a decade.  It came into being more out of expedience than careful planning, when Richard M. Nixon, then President, was saddled with a forecast of a recession occurring just months before the Presidential election of November, 1972.  Nixon was also faced with a trade balance that had suddenly climbed to a negative $4 billion, an inflation rate of nearly 5 percent, an unemployment figure of just under 5 percent, and billions of dollars in expenditures to support the war in Vietnam .  Nixon’s critics charged that he was mismanaging the economy, and they demanded action.  Nixon froze wages and prices for 90 days, tried to make it illegal for unions to strike, imposed a 10-percent surtax on imported automobiles and other products, and proposed a cut in income taxes.  He also said, to quote the day’s vernacular, that he had “closed the gold window.”[26]     

            After Nixon abandoned the world’s currency-stabilizing mechanism, the international economy was launched into new and uncharted financial waters. The premise that market forces would discipline the system proved to be invalid because market forces had been compromised by deposit insurance, bank subsidies, and  bailouts. Nixon, a Republican, took action in other areas of the economy that contradicted free market principles with unsuccessful efforts to control prices and wages. A less visible effect of Nixon’s actions was the beginning of ultra-capitalism, a perversion of capitalism in which impatient and volatile money changed industry’s goals from long-term and patient to short-term and greedy. Ultra-capitalists began to demand any action, including breaking up companies, that would produce short-term gains.  Kurtzman explained:  

            Selling off portions of a company, borrowing money in the capital markets and then paying it out to stockholders as dividends, even using profits not for new investment but to purchase a company’s own shares of stock, all became common practices used by companies to keep their stock prices high.  The era of long-term investing ended sometime in the 1970s.[27]  

1974: The Employees’ Retirement Insurance Security Act (ERISA) was signed into law by President Gerald Ford to protect pensions.  A worker’s money would be available on retirement because it was “funded,” that is, cash was taken out of companies, given to trustees to be invested, later to be paid on retirement.

            Before ERISA, companies assumed that most of the pension money would be funded out of future earnings; consequently, current cash was used to grow the business.  In effect, ERISA took no-cost growth capital out of companies and invested it primarily in the stock market.  Creative financial engineering to direct this workers’ money to democratize capitalism, however, was not done.  For example, basic pensions could have been insured with the pension money directly invested in companies through a preferred stock paying a 6% annual dividend. A large dividend, plus long-term appreciation, could have given the wage-earner a secure double-digit return.

            ERISAs enormous flow of cash, excessive liquidity, hit the stock market at the same time that the benefits of the Information Age revolution were becoming apparent. Arbitrage on the instabilities in the international monetary market, new speculative instruments called “derivatives,” and new unregulated institutions called “hedge funds” were being mixed into the financial formula. In combination, they began to drive the bull market to record levels. The world’s economy was becoming more and more dominated by ultra-capitalism. Senior government officials in the Treasury Department and the Fed became more involved in protecting finance capitalism rather than pursuing the original mission of regulating it for the common good. Is this not the ultimate contradiction in capitalism when the worker’s money is used by ultra-capitalism to concentrate wealth for the few?  

Ultra-capitalism Was Launched during the Last Quarter of the Century and Came to Dominate both the U.S. and World Economy  

            The foregoing sketch of the tortuous path of capitalism and the many bumps in its road brings us to the final quarter of the 20th century, a time when many believed that economic freedom was ready to unite the world, but other successors to the money changers of history were busy bringing ultra-capitalism into dominance. This was certainly a turning point, for the 21st century will see either the refinement of capitalism through democratic principles or the collapse of capitalism through its concentrated excesses that have already caused instabilities within capitalism itself and world violence.

            Ultra-capitalism was the result of the combination of excessive liquidity (from ERISA), excessive volatility (from floating the dollar), and then the contradiction in deregulating banking at the same time that market disciplines were suspended.  Each of the four contributing factors was supported by the lobby power of Wall Street, though not in an integrated way. Ultra-capitalism was the unintended consequence of the lack of an integrated policy that could actually control currency and credit for the general welfare. The lobby power of Wall Street sucked ultra-capitalism into this vacuum.

             During this time, the struggle between different forms of capitalism was not apparent because most reformers regarded capitalism as a generic monolithic system; democratic capitalism was hardly on the radar screen of economists and interpreters of the culture.  Ultra-capitalists were concerned only with short-term earnings, and they treated workers as a cost commodity, an expendable object fit for layoffs. Mergers and acquisitions were a rewarding way for bankers, lawyers, and executives to make large amounts of money.  Benefiting from slippery accounting rules, mergers themselves became a way to improve short-term earnings.  In this climate, Wall Street measured CEOs in terms of their actions in large and quick downsizings. Wall Street, most of the financial press, and even the Business Schools celebrated ultra-capitalism, calling it the “American Model,” that form of capitalism with exclusive interest in building stockholder value. The time frame was always short-term, and the interests of other “stakeholders” were ignored. In this environment, in fact, the word “stakeholders” itself became a pejorative expression.

             Information Age industries, although interested in stock price and stock options, depended on the involvement and contributions of their associates.  Many traditional companies also built on the loyalty of wage earners and customers. Some of these companies downsized because of global competition, but they did it through attrition, retraining, generous severance, and with a view to maintaining the spirit of cooperation and trust. This part of global capitalism was building momentum on the fundamentals of democratic capitalism: corporate integrity, employee participation, profit-sharing, ownership, job security, and associates who were independent thinkers, educated, and involved.

            At the same time, the relationship between government and finance capitalism in the U.S. , the world’s most successful economy, was growing stronger.  Wall Street became transactional and speculative; compensation for investment-banking partners became routine in the $10-to-$50-million a year bracket.  Many corporate executives were seduced by the big bucks into ultra-capitalism, choosing short-term profits, downsizing, and deal-making, while matching the multimillion dollar compensation of Wall Street.  Kevin Phillips described this new influence of ultra-capitalism:  

            Back in the early 1970s, before the global economy was hooked up to supercomputers and changed to the megabyte standard, the financial sector was subordinate to Congress and the White House, and the total of financial trades conducted by American firms or on American exchanges over an entire year was a dollar amount less than the gross national product.  By the 1990s, however, through a twenty-four-hour-a-day cascade of electronic hedging and speculating, the financial sector had swollen to an annual volume of trading thirty or forty times greater than the dollar turnover of the “real economy,” although the latter was where ordinary Americans still earned their livelihoods.[28]  

            Deal-makers thrived in this environment.  Smart financial people figured out how to make money with OPM (Other People’s Money).  A company would become targeted for takeover, and in many cases the company’s assets would be leveraged to finance the takeover, that is, used as collateral for the borrowed money.  The institutional investors supported ultra-capitalism without polling their constituency, for deals always meant a quick win on their investment and a better position on their national ranking.

            Most of the deal-makers had an accountant’s love of cost-cutting. The complexities of building for the long term were of less interest to deal-makers who discovered that one-dimensional management was all that was required.  Shortly after a takeover, the word would go out to cut people, and “downsize” became the familiar expression.  Downsizing is easy to do, and it always improves results in the short-term, particularly when tax laws allow the downsizers to pull in expenses from future years, thereby making increasing profits in following years almost a certainty.

            Kevin Phillips also described the history of economic self-contradiction in which the financial part of capitalism became dominant.  He traced the history, since the sixteenth century, of Spain , the Netherlands , and then Great Britain , as robust, growing economies that came to be progressively infected and diminished by “financialization.”  Phillips applied his historical view to the American situation:  

            This national transformation was no accident.  Economic circumstances had begun souring for Americans in the 1970s, and in the 1980s the United States electorate had embraced new leaders who unleashed the third of America ’s Republican-led capitalist booms in which income and wealth were realigned upward.  Some of these same economic forces worked to the detriment of ordinary Americans by encouraging speculation, shifting tax burdens, and redistributing income.[29]  

            During similar financialization phases over the centuries in various countries, taxes were shifted to the middle class, manufacturing declined, financial services grew, and capital became more concentrated. The satisfaction of building and selling things morphed into the excitement of making money on money.  

LDCs, the First Victims of Ultra-Capitalism
 

            Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, the economic failure of the less developed countries (LDCs) demonstrated the need for an international monetary policy that is long-term, integrated, and protected from the ad hoc actions of politicians. This was the presumed mission of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), located in Basel , Switzerland , that was the formal medium of communication for the powerful central bankers of the G-7 industrialized nations.

            The LDC failures contained many lessons that, if learned, would have prevented future economic damage.  In the 1970s, South American countries and Mexico were excited by great growth potential at the same time that New York banks were awash in petrodollars from Arab countries.  South America ’s growth was financed with short-term money and impatient capital; worse, loans were made on a floating interest rate, and, even worse, much of it was lent directly to national governments (politicians), not to companies (business people).  Greedy bankers chased profitable loans and ignored fundamental banking principles, such as not  lending short-term money for long-term investment. Why were the loans on a floating rate? Bad banking had placed the risk on the economically weak countries that were trying to improve the lives of their citizens, instead of placing the risk on the banks that were trying to make more money on money.  A long-term investment in improving the lives of desperately poor people should not be undertaken with short-term money with an interest rate that could rise out of sight, as it did.

            The effect on the world’s economy from rising American inflation caused by the deficit funding of Johnson’s “Guns and Butter” programs, prompted the world’s central bankers to gang up on Paul Volcker and insist on action in the late 1970s as soon as he became chairman of the Fed. Volcker then conducted a scorched-earth attack to reduce inflation, and in the process drove the cost of money up to 20%.  An unintended consequence of this high interest rate was the bankrupting of several of the LDCs because their interest rates “floated” up.  After the economic damage to the LDCs, the U.S. government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which had failed to put the necessary structure in place and so contributed to the problem, then reacted with credit-tightening actions that hurt people through lower wages, higher prices, lost jobs, and curtailed government assistance.

            The common denominators in the South American debacles were over-lending of short-term money and excessive liquidity that encouraged investment in risky projects or speculation. This short-term hot money then fled the troubled country when the economy reversed. International banks had no protocols to measure the total of short-term debt being accumulated by countries, including the ability to relate this debt to the amount of patient capital invested.  This debt/equity ratio, vital in viewing the level of a company’s financial risk, was ignored in whole countries. This miss is an important example of freedom without the requisite discipline. The freedom was of free capital roaming the world, promoted by the U.S. and enabled by the dismantlement of cross-border capital controls. The lack of discipline was the absence of a structure that would have prevented too much hot money from coming in, and too much hot money leaving too fast.

            Walter Wriston, head of Citibank at that time, stated the faulty rationale for imprudent lending:  “Countries do not go bankrupt.” Despite Wriston’s misplaced optimism, countries did go broke, and several large New York banks, including Citibank itself, went technically bankrupt.  All of the tricks to prevent the full damage of bad loans to banking profits were invoked.  For example, a typical subterfuge was to lend more money to an already broke LDC so that they could pay the interest.  When the interest went unpaid, the loan was designated “non-performing,” and the rules required that the loan be written off, that is, a reduction in the bank’s profits.

            At the same time, many big banks were also hyperventilating over bad real estate loans they had made. Underlying these speculative, bad-banking actions, the banks’ basic business, commercial loans, was also declining.  Competition from the finance arms of big corporations was taking this business away.  For example, General Electric’s aggressive CEO, Jack Welch, had learned how easy it is to make huge profits in

financial services.[30] The United States government, instead of staying on the sidelines and watching free-market forces in action, decided to save commercial banks through deregulation.  The government changed the mission of commercial bankers from making prudent loans to speculation, just as the government had changed the S&L industry’s mission from providing low-cost mortgages to speculation.

            Most commercial bankers had not been trained for speculation.  If they had wanted a higher-risk career, they could have become investment bankers.  A well-run conservative bank, such as Bankers Trust, which had been successful at lending money for commerce, became a not-very-good currency trader, and ended up being sued by Proctor & Gamble. The biggest bank, Citicorp, was near bankruptcy several times from bad loans and speculation under the same leadership, but the government bailed it out each time.  The combination of deregulation together with the abrogation of market disciplines pushed the bankers toward ultra-capitalism, that is, towards an economy in which the desire to make money on money goes up, while the sensitivity to the quality of the loans goes down.

            The government, through the Federal Reserve, suspended the effects of competition and ignored the mistakes of bankers by feeding the banks a spread between the cost to borrow at 3% or less, and the return on Treasury Bonds at 6% or more, a spread so large that bankers only whispered about it.  Some called it “Greenspan spread.”  This weaning process brought banks back to health at the taxpayers’ expense and further desensitized the bankers to the negative effects of imprudent loans. This experience was early evidence that the government’s true mission was protecting finance capitalism, not regulating it. Little democratic debate over this shift of the banking mission was heard, whether in the halls of Congress or elsewhere.  All of a sudden, it seemed, one’s friendly, conservative banker who formally had carefully fed capital into the job-growth economy, had become an enthusiastic high-stakes player in the world’s electronic monetary casino.  

The Hunt Caper  

             One of the more bizarre episodes in the history of ultra-capitalism’s domination of currency and credit was the silver round-up by rich Texans, Bunker and Herbert Hunt.  The Hunts tried to corner the silver market, presumably as the ultimate hedge against inflation.

            Silver had been selling for $6 an ounce in early 1979; by November, it was up to $18.77; then it topped at $52.50 in January 1980.  This movement exposed the plan by the Hunts and some Saudi Arabian associates to corner the market.  The Hunts had been accumulating silver since 1973, and they ended up “controlling some two-thirds of all silver in the United States . In doing so, they borrowed nearly $1.8 billion from banks and brokerage firms at rates as low as 5% to buy silver-future contracts on margin.  The collateral for the loans was the loftily priced silver assets themselves. In February and March, 1980, Hunt borrowings accounted for an astonishing 9% of all new U. S. bank credit.”[31] 

            The same inflation-fighting high interest rates of 1980 helped get the Hunts in deep trouble. Silver prices plunged to $10.40 an ounce by the

end of March, 1980. The Hunt’s potential default threatened to topple their main broker, Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, and possibly the giant bank, First National of Chicago. 

            This presented Chairman Paul Volcker of the Federal Reserve with a difficult choice. The speculators, and those who lent them money, should have been punished quickly and severely by the discipline of free-market forces, but lacking government control of leveraged speculation, the dollar amounts had grown so huge that potential failure triggered a concern over the entire financial system. The government came to the rescue when Volcker worked over the weekend to help bail out the Hunts, “giving his blessing as godfather to a thirteen-bank consortium for a new $1.1 billion, ten-year loan to enable the Hunts to repay their short-term debt.”[32]      

            The Hunts were hurt financially, but their $2 billion in losses did not affect their lifestyle.  Some in Congress criticized Volcker for having bailed out the Hunts.  This event further sensitized the banking system to the idea that if a potential failure is big enough, then it carries a de facto taxpayer guaranteed bailout.  This unstated policy was far from Adam Smith’s ideal of free banking in which people who take stupid risks, and banks that make stupid loans, are punished quickly, severely, locally, and visibly by the natural actions of the free market. Steven Solomon summarized the Hunt escapade as follows:  

            It touched a raw nerve in the bosom of democratic capitalism that politicians were only too glad to deflect onto central bankers.  It was hard to explain to the democratic body politic why rescuing big financial institutions, because of their unique ability to spread contagion, served the public good while the government failed to intervene to save ordinary businesses employing thousands.  In the United States , this tension always threatened to reawaken the barely dormant, passionate political divisions that had fought over money since the founding of the republic.[33]  

Ronald Reagan Freed That Which Should Be Controlled, and Controlled That Which Should Be Free  

            The S&L scandal is a case study for all citizens to learn how the government fails to control currency and credit for the general welfare but does control deposit insurance for the benefit of the speculators. President Ronald Reagan made speeches about how a democratic republic’s success depends on diffusion of both economic and political power (see chapter 5, introduction), but then his Administration moved in the opposite direction, concentrating wealth and power. An early example of this misdirection was the deregulation of the Savings and Loan industry. Reagan proudly described this deregulation in 1982 as the most important financial legislation in fifty years, not realizing that he was initiating an economic catastrophe.

            A member of the Congressional staff and an industry lobbyist added the fine print to the law that escalated federal deposit insurance to $100,000, with no limit on the number of locations at which speculators might borrow. President Reagan was not in the habit of studying the details.  The Secretary of the Treasury, the former head of Merrill Lynch, was pleased to anticipate a profitable shift of the peoples’ money from savings accounts to certificates of deposit that would benefit Wall Street.

            Republican President Reagan’s mistakes can be traced back to Democrat President Johnson’s mistakes in the 1960s when his inflationary policies resulted in interest rates that later rose to 20%.  These actions were the direct cause of the Savings and Loan debacle, for the S&Ls were in the impossible position of borrowing high-cost, short-term money to invest in low-return, long-term mortgages.  Congress tried to fix the problem with deregulation that caused worse problems.  Later, Congress tried to rectify the damage caused by bad deregulation, going so far in the other direction that financially sound banks were forced out of business.  Later, these banks successfully sued the government.  Each of these mistakes by politicians was paid for by the taxpayer.[34] 

            Reagan was determined to “get the government off peoples’ backs.”  He was convinced that “the government was the problem, not the solution.”  He then proceeded, like Presidents before and after him, with badly designed programs that failed in their mission, gave deregulation a bad name, and further confused people about the proper function of government.  The source of the confusion lay in applying the concept and practices of laissez-faire to the monetary function.  Laissez-faire could be applied to free banking, but that is not a practical alternative.  The Founders had understood, and experience demonstrates, that control of currency and credit is a prime government obligation that must be part of the structure, not part of laissez-faire economic freedom.

            While the Reagan Administration was misapplying the theory of laissez-faire to deregulate the banking industry, the government was at the same time protecting the banking industry. In 1984, the government actually bought the Continental Illinois Bank for $5.5 billion.  Unable to get the other banks to bail Continental out, the government nationalized it, and within two years wrote off $1.2 billion in bad loans.[35]  This event was the formal beginning of the “too big to fa