The
Carey Center for Democratic Capitalism
www.democratic-capitalism.com / careydcntr@aol.com
This is number 19 in a series of articles which summarize proposed reforms
19. No More Recessions
Speculators may do no harm as bubbles on a steady
stream of enterprise. But the position is serious when
enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation.
John Maynard Keynes
The functions of
government include protecting life and property and providing
whatever currency and credit is needed to support economic
freedom. Adam Smith proposed that this money should be a
simple medium of exchange and kept from the speculators,
“prodigals and projectors” as he called them. In the 2007-2009
recession, tens of millions of jobs have been lost, and the
living conditions of wage-earning families have been severely
damaged by extreme violations of this free-market theory.
The government’s mistake
began in 1974 with the Employees Retirement Insurance Act (ERISA)
when they did not direct trillions of dollars of mandated
pension savings towards the job-growth economy. Lacking
direction, money will always go to speculative ventures that
have the appearance of quicker gain. This government failure
to distinguish between investment in economic growth or
speculation resulted in funding the dot-com bubble, and then
the real-estate and credit bubbles.
The function of bankers
is to make judgments on the quality of their loans. But the
bankers were no better than the government in distinguishing
between investment in economic growth or speculation.
Deregulation and the introduction of derivatives piled on more
liquidity. While the quality of loans was going down,
incredibly, bankers did not know what the instruments were
worth and instead of starving the speculators they fed the
frenzy while neglecting to reflect increasing risk in the cost
and supply of money or the size of their reserves.
Alexander Hamilton, the
first Secretary of the Treasury, gave easy-credit privileges
to the establishment in exchange for their participation and
financial support. When Jefferson became president, he
promised to “bring this powerful enemy to a perfect
subordination,” but Hamilton’s structure was already in place,
and Jefferson did not know how to reform it.
The next president, James
Madison, allowed greater dominance by finance capitalism
because the bankrupt government needed their help to fund the
War of 1812. After the war, pent-up demand accelerated
economic growth that then surged into asset inflation of
stocks and real estate. This first business cycle climaxed and
crashed in the first recession caused by speculators using
borrowed money. During the Panic of 1818, a half-million urban
workers lost their jobs, and thousands were jailed for debts
less than $20.
The battle went on
between the few protecting their privilege to speculate versus
those angry over the repetitive damage done to ordinary
people. The first Populist president, Andrew Jackson, won a
battle by vetoing the National Bank, but he lost the war when
the State banks he favored provided easy credit for
speculators and caused the recession of 1837. Easy credit
caused recessions again in 1857, 1873, and 1893. In 1913, the
Federal Reserve Board was founded, but reflecting the
priorities of Wall Street, its mission was to fight price
inflation that erodes the wealth of the few but not asset
inflation in stocks and real estate that causes recessions and
damages the many.
Many who favor a
collectivist type of centrally planned government were quick
to identify the Crash of ’29 and the following Great
Depression as evidence of fatal flaws in capitalism. The flaw
was, instead, a failure of government and banks to limit easy
credit for speculation during the 1920s, followed by further
government blunders: raising taxes to 63% retroactively,
shrinking the money supply over 30% in two years, and
legislating protectionist tariffs. The government did not use
available tools to restrain the business cycle, and then it
belatedly used the same tools after the crash by raising
interest rates and by cutting credit even for good companies.
Finance capitalism has
dominated the system but never to the extent of the last
quarter century. ERISA mandated pension funding added as much
as $100 billion a year for investment, but Wall Street
lobbying has resulted in its benefiting the handlers of the
money. During this time, wage-earner capitalists have sat
there passively while Wall Street handlers charged exorbitant
fees for investing in bubbles that eventually caused the
unnecessary recession. Wage earners, in effect, have funded
much of the devastation of their own retirement accounts.
The reforms under way in
late 2009 are damage control that will only put the Wall
Street Humpty-Dumpty back together again. The “reformers”
neither address how to fight asset inflation to prevent future
recessions nor how to identify and support the new, improved
capitalism.